Bitcoin’s bear-market narrative remains unsettled as on-chain data shows realized losses in the 2026 downturn have yet to surpass the peak hit during 2022, even though the market’s dollar-denominated value sits higher. Analysts warn that a fresh phase of capitulation could still materialize before bulls find a durable bottom, highlighting a complex tug-of-war between stubborn retail conviction and displaced institutional selling. Key takeaways Bitcoin’s 2026 realized losses have not yet exceeded the 2022 peak of about $211 billion, despite a higher market cap in USD terms. Analysts suggest a new round of loss-making market exits may be needed to preserve historical bear-market patterns. Retail conviction remains notably high, even as macro catalysts push prices lower, complicating the conventional bear-market bottom story. Institutions have tended to sell into relief rallies, potentially delaying a capitulation-driven bottom and rebalancing supply-demand dynamics. The market may requir...
Fresh on-chain activity from Bhutan-linked Bitcoin wallets has added pressure to an already weak crypto market. Several large Bitcoin transfers emerged within a single day, while analysts projected deeper downside risks. Meanwhile, Bitcoin continued trading near critical support levels after recent macroeconomic developments triggered renewed selling pressure. Bhutan Government-Linked Wallets Move Over $67 Million in Bitcoin Blockchain tracking data showed multiple Bitcoin transfers from wallets linked to Bhutan on Saturday. The transactions totaled more than 1,095 BTC and exceeded $67 million in value. The transfers attracted attention during a period of heightened market volatility. The largest transfer involved nearly 365 BTC, valued at approximately $22.26 million. Other notable transactions included 188 BTC and 150 BTC, worth over $20 million combined. Several smaller transfers ranged from 1 BTC to more than 100 BTC. The cumulative value of the identified transactions surpassed $6...