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Researcher Reveals Coinbase's New Kalshi-Backed Prediction Market Development





Cryptocurrency exchanges continue to expand their offerings into innovative sectors, with Coinbase reportedly developing a new prediction markets platform. This move signals the exchange’s efforts to diversify within the blockchain ecosystem, leveraging its partnerships and technological capabilities to introduce a user-friendly platform for event-based trading tied to real-world outcomes.





  • Coinbase is developing a prediction markets platform, apparently backed by the derivatives firm Kalshi.

  • The platform is expected to support multiple event types, including politics, sports, science, and technology.

  • Upcoming prediction markets could accept USDC or USD, integrating with Coinbase’s broader crypto ecosystem.

  • The move aligns Coinbase’s strategy to create an "everything exchange" with diversified financial products.

  • This initiative is part of a broader trend where major crypto exchanges are entering the prediction markets space amid rising popularity and trading volume.




Blockchain industry insiders have revealed that Coinbase is in the process of launching a prediction markets platform, with screenshots surfacing online showing a user interface branded with Coinbase’s logo. The platform appears to be supported by Kalshi, a regulated derivatives platform that has gained traction in the crypto and DeFi spaces for offering event-based contracts.



One screenshot indicates that Coinbase’s derivatives arm, Coinbase Financial Markets, will host the prediction markets, which could include forecasts on economics, sports, politics, and technological advancements. The interface suggests that users will have the ability to wager using USDC or U.S. dollars, with new markets likely to be introduced regularly to keep the platform dynamic.




Coinbase Prediction Market Interface
Source: Jane Manchun Wong



Coinbase disclosed its intentions for prediction markets earlier this year, envisioning them as part of a comprehensive “everything exchange” that bridges traditional finance with blockchain innovation. The partnership with Kalshi was formalized in November, with Coinbase acting as custodian for Kalshi’s USDC-based event contracts, enhancing its ambitions to integrate more types of financial derivatives into its ecosystem.



While both Coinbase and Kalshi have yet to comment publicly on this project, the move underscores the growing acceptance of crypto-based prediction markets amid surging trading volumes on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket.



Industry observers note that several other leading crypto platforms are exploring similar ventures. Crypto.com has announced plans to introduce a prediction markets platform connected with Trump Media, while Gemini aims to launch its own prediction market as part of developing a “super app,” seeking to combine various financial services under one umbrella. Last week, Gemini also filed with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission to operate as a designated contract market, signaling its intent to offer sophisticated derivatives and prediction market products.



As the crypto sector continues to evolve, prediction markets are gaining mainstream attention, attracting traders eager to leverage blockchain technology to forecast real-world events. This trend underscores the increasing integration of crypto assets into broader financial markets, making prediction markets an exciting frontier for both institutional and retail investors alike.





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