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Bitcoin’s 2025 Bear Market Revealed by Samson Mow



Bitcoin's Potential Bull Run Extends into 2035 Amid Divergent Analyst Predictions



Recent analyses suggest Bitcoin may be poised for a lengthy bull market lasting into the early 2030s, following a period that some interpret as a bear market over the past year. However, there remains considerable debate among industry experts regarding the future trajectory of the world's leading cryptocurrency.



Key Takeaways



  • Some analysts, including Samson Mow, project a decade-long Bitcoin bull run, possibly beginning in 2025.

  • Others believe that the recent peak of $125,100 in October marked the cycle's high, with a potential bear market starting in 2026.

  • Bitcoin's price performance in 2023 has been subdued, with an 8.98% decline since the year's start.

  • Market sentiment remains fragile, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index indicating heightened investor fear.



Tickers mentioned: Bitcoin



Sentiment: Mixed



Price impact: Negative. The recent downward trend and bearish sentiment have weighed on prices, though some analysts foresee a longer-term bullish outlook.



Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. Given conflicting predictions, investors might consider maintaining exposure while monitoring macroeconomic signals.



Market context: The ongoing debate about Bitcoin's cycles reflects broader uncertainty in crypto markets amid macroeconomic shifts and regulatory developments.



Analysis of Recent Trends and Forecasts



Bitcoin could be entering a multi-year bullish phase, with Samson Mow, founder of Jan3, suggesting a possible decade-long rally extending into 2035. Mow posits that the 2025 period will mark the end of the current bear market and the beginning of an extended bull run. His views find resonance with Bitcoin analyst PlanC, who stated, “If you made it through 2025, you made it through the bear market,” implying a stronger future for the asset.



Nevertheless, not all market participants share this optimistic outlook. October's peak of $125,100 is viewed by some as the cycle's high point, with predictions of a downturn in 2026. Industry veterans like Peter Brandt have warned that Bitcoin could slide to as low as $60,000 by the third quarter of 2026. Others, like Fidelity’s Jurrien Timmer, suggest 2026 might see a downturn to approximately $65,000, possibly marking a pause or correction rather than a full-blown bear market.



Meanwhile, recent market data reflect subdued sentiment, with Bitcoin trading around $87,210—an 8.98% decline from the start of the year. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index remains at a low score of 20, indicating extreme fear among traders, a typical sign of bearish market conditions.



Despite the short-term bearish signals, some industry leaders remain optimistic. Phong Le, CEO of Strategy, emphasized the strength of Bitcoin’s market fundamentals in 2025. Additionally, Bitwise’s CIO, Matt Hougan, predicted that 2026 will be an “up year” for Bitcoin, pointing to cyclical patterns and macroeconomic factors that could support future price gains.



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