Editor’s note: Bitcoin is testing a key resistance near $74,000 as ETF inflows help lift prices, but a convincing breakout remains elusive amid evolving macro signals. The upcoming Fed meeting and the potential impact of oil prices add a layer of policy risk that traders will weigh against the market’s appetite for risk, while AI tokens gain momentum and a major payments firm expands its crypto footprint. This note sets up the themes in the press release and what readers should monitor in the days ahead.
The consensus is for the Fed to hold rates on Wednesday, but if Chairman Powell signals in his press conference that the central bank is prepared to raise rates should oil prices remain elevated or continue rising, this could trigger a sell-off in cryptoasset prices,” said Peters.
Key points
- Bitcoin edged higher last week, gaining 11%, but it remains stuck below the $74,000 resistance.
- US bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $763 million in net inflows over the past week, with Strategy revealing a purchase of 17,994 BTC (~$1.28B).
- AI-related tokens TAO and FET surged about 47% as Nvidia’s AI remarks spurred interest in on-chain AI networks.
- Mastercard launched the Mastercard Crypto Partner Program, connecting 85+ firms to accelerate crypto initiatives.
- Bitcoin hit the 20 million supply milestone, underscoring scarcity dynamics as the final coins approach.
Why this matters
Bitcoin’s movement near a major resistance, supported by ETF inflows, shows liquidity and macro signals can drive crypto momentum. The Fed meeting and possible policy shifts linked to oil prices could influence risk appetite, while Nvidia’s AI comments and the AI-token rally reflect ongoing sector maturation. The 20 million BTC milestone also reinforces scarcity dynamics that may shape sentiment in coming months.
What to watch next
- Fed rate expectations and the dot plot release could impact crypto prices and risk assets.
- Bitcoin’s price action around the $74k level to determine breakout or correction.
- Continuation of Nvidia-related AI token momentum and implications for on-chain AI networks.
Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.
Bitcoin struggles to break $74,000 resistance as ETF inflows rise
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – March 16, 2026: Bitcoin edged higher last week, gaining 11%, yet it continues to struggle to convincingly break through the $74,000 resistance level, according to Simon Peters, crypto analyst at eToro.
US bitcoin spot ETFs recorded $763 million in net inflows over the past week, helping to push prices higher. Strategy, the largest bitcoin treasury company by total holdings, also disclosed another significant purchase of 17,994 bitcoin for approximately $1.28 billion.
Looking ahead, the Federal Reserve meeting this week could prove pivotal in determining whether bitcoin breaks above the $74,000 level or experiences a correction. While markets had previously anticipated a dovish pivot, a sudden spike in oil prices due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East may prompt the Fed to reconsider its outlook.
“The consensus is for the Fed to hold rates on Wednesday, but if Chairman Powell signals in his press conference that the central bank is prepared to raise rates should oil prices remain elevated or continue rising, this could trigger a sell-off in cryptoasset prices,” said Peters.
The meeting will also see the release of the Federal Reserve’s latest “dot plot”, offering insights into where each Federal Open Market Committee participant believes interest rates should be by the end of the year, next year and over the longer term.
AI tokens surge amid Nvidia comments
Among the biggest movers in the crypto market over the past week were AI-related tokens TAO and FET, both rising 47% as investors rotated into the sector following bullish remarks about artificial intelligence by Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang.
Ahead of Nvidia’s GTC AI conference this week, Huang described AI as “essential infrastructure”, stating that every company and nation will build and use it.
These comments have renewed interest in on-chain, decentralised AI networks, pushing tokens such as TAO and FET higher.
Mastercard launches crypto partner program
Mastercard has launched its Mastercard Crypto Partner Program, a new global initiative bringing together more than 85 companies across the crypto ecosystem, including exchanges, stablecoin issuers and blockchain development teams.
The program aims to foster dialogue and collaboration as the crypto sector continues to mature. Participants will work with Mastercard teams to combine the speed and programmability of blockchain technology with Mastercard’s merchant network spanning more than 210 countries.
The initiative builds on Mastercard’s existing digital asset activities, including its Start Path blockchain track, Engage platform and Crypto Card program.
Bitcoin reaches 20 million supply milestone
Bitcoin reached a historic milestone last week when the 20 millionth bitcoin was mined, marking the issuance of more than 95% of the cryptocurrency’s total capped supply of 21 million coins.
The milestone was reached on 10 March at block height 931200, 17 years after the network first launched. Due to Bitcoin’s halving schedule, the remaining one million coins are expected to take approximately another 114 years to be mined, with the final bitcoin projected to enter circulation around the year 2140.
Crossing the 20 million milestone again highlights Bitcoin’s scarcity dynamics. With demand continuing to outpace the new supply issued daily by miners and many holders unwilling to sell at current prices, the market could be positioned for a significant move higher over the coming months and years.
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