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Crypto and AI Under Scrutiny in 2026 US Midterms



The collision of AI innovation and crypto lobbying is shaping how voters view both industries as the United States edges toward potential policy changes. A Politico/Public First survey signals growing public skepticism about crypto and cautious scrutiny of AI, even as lawmakers and advocacy groups accelerate efforts to influence Washington before the next election cycle.



Poll findings suggest policymakers face a tough audience: while the crypto sector has amassed substantial funding in political action committees, a broad swath of voters remain unconvinced about the sector’s benefits or risks associated with artificial intelligence. The dialogue around a formal regulatory framework, including considerations around the CLARITY Act, has become a focal point in how industry interests intersect with voter sentiment.



Key takeaways



  • Public trust gaps persist: 47% of Americans prefer traditional banks to crypto platforms, while only 17% express a level of trust comparable to banks in crypto services.

  • AI skepticism runs deep: 43% believe AI risks outweigh its benefits, with just 33% seeing the opposite.

  • Low awareness of lobbies: awareness of major crypto and AI lobbying groups remains limited, with only 9% having heard of the AI Super PAC Leading the Future and 3% aware of the pro-crypto Fairshake PAC.

  • Grassroots resistance to tech infrastructure: across seven states, local movements have delayed or blocked substantial data-center investments, with Maine considering a statewide ban.

  • Partisan dynamics complicate advocacy: while crypto voices frame their cause as bipartisan, the policy reality shows deep ties to executive and regulatory arms of government, complicating the political calculus for both parties.



Voter sentiment: crypto trust and AI doubts shape the narrative


The Politico/Public First poll paints a nuanced picture of public opinion on crypto and AI. A plurality still regards traditional financial institutions as more trustworthy than crypto platforms, and only a minority views crypto as having comparable reliability to banks. The same survey indicates that opinion on AI is uneven, with a sizable portion of the electorate wary of potential risks even as others point to benefits.



Michael Beckel, director of money-in-politics reform at Issue One, summarized the mood to Cointelegraph: voters across ideological lines are expressing concerns about corporate influence and how campaign money shapes policy outcomes. He noted that some candidates are attempting to capitalize on this frustration, a signal that the political calculus around tech lobbying is shifting.



For crypto, the numbers look especially wary. Republicans show slightly higher affinity toward crypto than Democrats, but the gap remains broad. The survey highlights a key tension: voters’ skepticism toward lucrative lobbying efforts may override partisan lines when it comes to accepting industry-friendly messaging.



Lobbying, awareness, and the politics of influence


The broader political discourse around AI and crypto is being shaped not just by policy proposals but by who finances the campaigns and how that money is framed to voters. Rick Claypool, research director at Public Citizen, emphasized a long-standing norm: voters generally oppose heavy corporate money shaping politics. He noted that post-Citizens United, the expectation has been that big brands do not straightforwardly fund campaigns, or they do so through opaque channels that obscure the funding origins.



In the 2024 cycle, industry actors—ranging from major exchanges to prominent venture firms—were active in campaign finance. Yet, the messaging directed at voters did not center on crypto per se. Advertisements and mailers often aligned with candidates’ broader positions, sometimes framing the contest as a defense against regulation or a push for deregulatory priorities rather than a crypto-first debate. The takeaway is clear: even when an industry pushes for policy, it must translate complex technical issues into relatable political narratives that the electorate can parse.



Ohio Rep. Jim Renacci summed up a practical concern for lawmakers: if a candidate is heavily backed by crypto money, the local electorate may react negatively due to limited understanding of the technology. The sentiment underscores a risk for representatives who rely on industry fundraising in a climate where voters are increasingly wary of corporate influence in politics.



Grassroots pushback and the regulatory map


The political environment around AI and crypto is further complicated by a growing grassroots movement that targets the physical footprint of technological infrastructure. Data Center Watch has documented a wave of local actions—across California, Oregon, Arizona, Texas, Missouri, Indiana, and Virginia—where new data-center projects were delayed or blocked. A recent report notes that these efforts have stalled more than $64 billion in planned data-center investment and that Maine is weighing a statewide ban as a potential policy precedent.



Claypool framed this as a potentially fertile ground for campaign messaging, particularly for Democrats seeking to capitalize on grassroots energy against what many see as energy-hungry, resource-intensive tech infrastructure. He argues that opposition to data centers can be a mobilizing issue, one that may help candidates align with voters who perceive tech expansion as a local environmental or community concern rather than a purely national policy matter.



Meanwhile, the crypto industry has tried to position itself as a bipartisan issue, arguing that policy clarity and reasonable regulation would benefit consumers and investors alike. Coinbase’s leadership and other notable venture backers have publicly framed crypto as a cross-partisan concern in Washington. Yet, on the ground, enforcement priorities and regulatory posture often track more with party leadership and executive agencies than with partisan labels. The intertwining of crypto advocacy with the Trump political orbit adds another layer of complexity. As Trump’s relevance in the broader political landscape fluctuates, ties to the industry carry new political risk for candidates who rely on that support.



A recent Illinois Democratic primary illustrated the potential political consequences of money in crypto circles. Lieutenant Governor Juliana Stratton cited opponent Raja Krishnamoorthi as being backed by “MAGA-backed crypto bros,” highlighting how the perception of money in politics can become a campaign issue. Stratton’s victory underscored that the electorate can scrutinize the sources of campaign contributions as much as the policy positions themselves.



Looking ahead: what matters for voters, investors, and builders


As midterm dynamics and regulatory debates unfold, observers should watch how legislative momentum around the CLARITY Act evolves and whether it gains broader bipartisan support. The public’s growing skepticism about crypto and AI could influence lawmakers to pursue tighter disclosures, clearer enforcement guidelines, and more transparent lobbying practices, even as proponents argue for a clear framework that benefits investors and users.



For market participants, the key takeaway is not a sudden shift in policy, but a gradual recalibration of risk around policy risk. Investors and builders should monitor two threads: first, the trajectory of regulatory clarity and how it aligns with consumer protections and innovation; second, the ability of the crypto and AI industries to articulate tangible benefits to the public in a way that resonates beyond the fundraising apparatus.



In the coming months, the interplay between voter sentiment, grassroots activism, and political endorsements will shape how Washington treats crypto and AI. If voters increasingly view industry money as a potential conflict of interest, candidates may distance themselves from big-ticket funding, potentially narrowing the policy window for industry-backed initiatives. Conversely, if policymakers offer credible, accessible frameworks that address consumer protection and innovation, the sector may find a more stable path forward.



Readers should keep an eye on regulators' statements, legislative committee hearings, and any new public-facing campaigns from major lobbies and consumer groups. The political weather surrounding crypto and AI is shifting, and the path to policy clarity may hinge on how convincingly proponents connect technical progress with everyday benefits for the American public.



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