Once among the top performers of the 2021 bull run, Shiba Inu (SHIB) continues to face difficulties after shedding over 95% of its all-time high price. The meme currency, which delivered enormous profits for its early investors, has been trading against a backdrop of strong selling pressure for the past few years due to changed market conditions.
While there has been some positive momentum for SHIB in 2024, hopelessness set back again amid increased economic uncertainties. Now, it is unclear whether SHIB is on the verge of hitting rock bottom or another fall can be anticipated. Despite having faith in the project’s future, there are a number of economic and market reasons that are restricting its potential to recover further.
Economic Situation Further Adds to Pressure on Meme Coins
Shiba Inu was able to start off 2024 well, reaching almost $0.00003 by December as the community expected a new bull run. But it did not last long.
As economic conditions worsened in late 2025 and early 2026 due to inflation, tensions, and slow economic growth, investors became less interested in taking risks. As a result, most of them withdrew money from meme coins.
SHIB fell towards the level of $0.000004, which was one of its lowest values in recent years and canceled out all the gains made by the previous rally. The overall crypto market was also affected as the situation with monetary policy worldwide became unclear.
Policy at the Federal Reserve Remains a Major Threat
Macroeconomic factors will continue to influence the forecast of SHIB’s price.
High inflation has been reported in the country, resulting in the Federal Reserve maintaining its tight monetary policy stance. Although interest rates have not seen changes in the latest meetings of policymakers, many participants in the market see interest rates staying high if inflation persists.
Interest rate hikes usually lead to lower liquidity levels in the financial market as investors tend to shift towards safe investments like government securities and cash. Cryptocurrencies become less popular amid higher interest rates due to their speculative nature. Since meme tokens are the most volatile cryptocurrencies on the market, price fluctuations will be higher if market sentiment declines.
High Supply of Tokens Hinders Price Increases
The next major hurdle that Shiba Inu faces is the huge supply of tokens.
At present, there are around 589 trillion tokens of SHIB in circulation. High token supply makes any significant price appreciation difficult compared to other assets with low token supply.
Even though there are increases in buying activity, it needs heavy demand to accommodate the huge amount of tokens that exist in the market. Despite temporary surges in demand, rallies have been challenging due to the high token supply. Community-initiated token burns keep reducing the supply; however, many experts think the rate is too slow to make any significant difference.
Is There Hope for Shiba Inu to Recover
Even with the current bearish trend, there are various elements that may favor the coin in the long run. Economic growth, lower levels of inflation, and a friendlier monetary policy from the Fed could revive demand for riskier assets. A bullish market for cryptocurrencies would also favor the success of meme coins like Shiba Inu.
One of the major strengths of the project is its massive and highly active community. The token continues to enjoy one of the largest communities in the cryptocurrency space, while development of the ecosystem will further bolster the confidence of investors. Nonetheless, there are numerous people who still hold big unrealized losses after buying the token close to its previous all-time high prices. In the event of a price recovery, some of these investors could dump their tokens during rallies.
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